Pakistan Faces Potential Record-Breaking Heat This Week

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Pakistan could see temperatures soar to 120 degrees this week, potentially breaking global records. A high-pressure system is creating these extreme conditions, impacting much of South Asia. Notably, 63% of the globe is currently experiencing above-average temperatures, and the trend raises concerns about ongoing climate change.

This week, Pakistan is bracing for extreme heat, with temperatures projected to reach a staggering 120 degrees Fahrenheit. This intense wave of warmth could potentially set a new global record, as confirmed by weather historian Maximiliano Herrera, who notes that Nawabshah’s April 2018 temperature is currently the highest for that month across Asia. Previous claims of 124 degrees in Santa Rosa, Mexico, from 2001 may not be credible, muddying the record books.

A substantial dome of high pressure is responsible for this heatwave, serving as a barrier that traps warmth in a way akin to a lid on a boiling pot. This phenomenon stretches from the Middle East all the way into South Asia, where temperatures during April have historically soared. Such patterns are becoming more commonplace in a warming world, where the frequency of heat extremes overshadows that of cool spells.

The heat intensity is predicted to escalate throughout the week, with the peak temperature days appearing to be Wednesday and Thursday for Pakistan. The ECMWF weather model, which is highly regarded for its accuracy, forecasts central Pakistan to experience temperatures climbing around 120 degrees on these peak days. Given last weekend’s forecasts were slightly lower than reality by two to three degrees, there’s a fair chance these high predictions could be exceeded.

Eclectic forecasts suggest that a total of 21 countries will experience temperatures above 110 degrees this week. This list includes Pakistan, Iran, Kuwait, and several others across the Middle East and North Africa. Toward the end of the week, the immense heat is expected to shift east towards China, impacting Central Asia as Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan could see temperatures scale over 100 degrees.

So far in April, Pakistan has experienced temperatures exceeding the average by more than 4 degrees. Neighboring Iraq is nearly 3 degrees above average, witnessing its highest April temperatures on record at 115 degrees. Similarly, the United Arab Emirates recorded a notable high of 115 degrees, and Turkmenistan raised eyebrows as it embraced temperatures over 7 degrees above average for this month.

Serving as a larger backdrop, a significant 63 percent of the globe has felt higher-than-normal temperatures during April, while only 37 percent reported cooler conditions. In total, 116 nations have observed warmer weather, highlighting a clear upward trend in temperature records globally. Following 2024’s exceptional warmth, which can be attributed to a strong El Niño, it is important to note that earlier La Niña conditions did little to alleviate these rising temperatures.

The early months of this year were the second-hottest on record globally, only surpassed by the previous year. With the Northern Hemisphere summer fast approaching, unusual and dangerous heat patterns are starting to unfold. This aligns closely with the warming climatic environment the world is currently navigating through.

In summary, Pakistan is facing a potential record-breaking heatwave this week, with temperatures approaching 120 degrees Fahrenheit. This extreme weather is part of a broader pattern affecting numerous countries in South Asia and the Middle East. The evidence indicates persistent above-average temperatures globally, pointing to alarming trends in climate variability. As the weather warms up further, these patterns underscore the urgency of addressing climate change across the globe.

Original Source: www.washingtonpost.com

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