Recent Developments in Sudan’s Civil War and Humanitarian Crisis
The Sudanese army has recently achieved significant victories against the RSF in Khartoum, reinforcing its control over the capital, which could influence future military and diplomatic endeavors. However, the ongoing conflict remains intense, with no resolution in sight, contributing to a severe humanitarian crisis affecting millions of Sudanese citizens. Experts warn of potential fragmentation of the country as both sides continue to engage in violence.
In Sudan, the recent battles in Khartoum are a pivotal development in the ongoing civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). With the conflict approaching its two-year anniversary, the Sudanese army is claiming significant victories, including the recapture of the airport and the presidential palace, which were initially seized by the RSF at the war’s start in April 2023. These events signify a potential shift in the war’s dynamics despite the persistent violence.
The Sudanese army’s recent achievements have raised concerns about the country’s territorial integrity, as both warring parties are focusing on consolidating their gains in captured regions. SAF’s control over Khartoum, asserted by army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, is viewed as a crucial boost for the army and could influence international perspectives on the conflict. However, the SAF continues to abstain from peace talks with the RSF.
Despite their recent successes, the conflict shows no signs of resolution. The strife emerged from disputes over the integration of RSF into the national armed forces, with both parties maintaining control of substantial territories. Continued fierce clashes are reported in several regions, including Darfur and Kordofan, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis affecting millions in Sudan, who face severe food shortages and displacement.
The power struggle between the two factions has contributed to one of the world’s most severe humanitarian crises, forcing over twelve million people from their homes. As international organizations attempt to provide aid, they confront numerous obstacles, including accusations against both sides of blocking humanitarian access. With nearly twenty-five million facing acute food insecurity, the situation remains dire, characterized by systemic looting and significant agricultural disruption.
Experts warn that the ongoing turmoil could lead to the partition of Sudan, echoing the circumstances that led to South Sudan’s secession in 2011. The recent announcement of a founding charter for a breakaway government by the RSF and its allies has raised alarms at the UN Security Council. In the immediate future, a protracted war of attrition seems probable as both sides remain reluctant to engage in compromise amidst calls for negotiations from the international community.
The recent developments in Sudan’s civil war signify major victories for the Sudanese army in Khartoum against the RSF. Nevertheless, the conflict persists with intense fighting and no indications of a peace process. The humanitarian impact is catastrophic, with millions displaced and in dire need of assistance. The potential for Sudan’s fragmentation raises concerns about long-term stability and peace in the region.
Original Source: www.aljazeera.com
