Storm Tracker Update: Potential Tropical Depression in Caribbean, US Impact Unlikely
The National Hurricane Center indicates an increased likelihood of a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean, with a 50 percent chance of development. However, it is not expected to affect the United States. Rain is expected in Central America and southern Mexico. Another system, Invest 94L, is unlikely to develop further, showing only a 10 percent chance of formation.
The potential for a tropical depression to develop in the Atlantic Ocean has increased, although forecasts indicate that it is unlikely to impact the United States, as reported by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The NHC is observing two systems within the Atlantic, one of which is located in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and is currently referred to as Invest 95L. This system is characterized by a broad area of low pressure that is generating widespread showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity. According to a Friday morning advisory, the system is gradually becoming more organized, particularly to the north of eastern Honduras. Forecasters suggest that environmental conditions may be favorable for some additional development over the coming day or two, with a possibility of a short-lived tropical depression or storm forming before the system makes landfall over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. The chance of formation for this system over the next 48 hours is estimated at 50 percent. Regardless of whether development occurs, the NHC has indicated that substantial rainfall is likely across parts of Central America and southern Mexico throughout the weekend. Concurrently, the NHC is monitoring another system identified as Invest 94L, described as a poorly-defined trough of low pressure generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the northern Leeward Islands extending a couple of hundred miles into adjacent Atlantic waters. Development of this particular system is predicted to be slow as it proceeds westward to west-northwestward, passing by or just north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, and subsequently near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. The NHC has assessed this system with only a 10 percent chance of developing further in the next 48 hours due to strong upper-level winds that hinder its potential growth. As the season progresses, the next named storms are anticipated to be Nadine and Oscar.
This article discusses the current situation regarding tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean, specifically focusing on the potential development of a tropical depression emerging from the northwestern Caribbean Sea known as Invest 95L, and the minimal development of another system, Invest 94L. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) monitors these systems closely to provide updates on their development and potential impact on surrounding areas, including the United States. Understanding these environmental patterns and their implications is critical for anticipating weather-related events across the region. Tropical systems, especially depressions and storms, can lead to adverse weather conditions, such as heavy rainfall and higher winds which can impact coastal and inland areas.
In conclusion, while the National Hurricane Center is observing an increased chance of development for a system in the Caribbean that may become a tropical depression, it is not forecasted to directly impact the United States. Meanwhile, another system appears to lack significant development potential due to unfavorable conditions. Rainfall across Central America and southern Mexico is still anticipated, emphasizing the ongoing monitoring necessary for such weather patterns during this time of the year.
Original Source: www.usatoday.com
